Trump or Clinton? What will Change after the Elections in the USA and Around the World?
08.11.2016
13:00
Media Center hosted a discussion today about the USA presidential elections held on November 8, with the participation of Vardan Khachatryan, Political Scientist, Former MP, Suren Sargsyan, Researcher and Political scientist at Tufts University's Fletcher School of Law and Diplomacy, Haik Martirosyan, Doctor of Political Scientist.

Suren Sargsyan expressed his opinion that the competition is fairly tense at this moment, but the difference between the candidates is not significant.

“There is a certain percentage of undecided citizens who do not know for whom to vote, even though the elections will start in a few hours. Serious and professional work has been conducted by Trump’s team, but I think that Clinton's chances are greater in this competition, but it is important that Clinton's supporters go and vote for him, because if people do not go for voting, Trump's chances will be higher," Sargsyan said.

He stressed that the number of participants in the elections may have an impact on the election process.

“But in a long run, I forecast the victory of Hilary Clinton,” Sargsyan said.

Hayk Martirosyan also thinks that Clinton will have the majority of the votes.  

“It is also associated with the way of thinking of the new generation, who stated that they voted for her against Donald Trump. It is not that the American society is fascinated by Clinton’s campaign or personality. Here we are dealing with Le Pen’s phenomenon, something which has been repeated in France for many years in the early 2000s when extreme right forces receive a huge number of votes, but during the second phase they say, another candidate should be elected in order to avoid extremists. Chirac was elected as a president in that way, he lost but won against Le Pen. This is a rather sad phenomenon in politics when they vote against, not in favor. All these problems are available now in the United States and the outcome of the elections is forecasted in favor of Clinton,” Martirosyan said.

He believes that Clinton's victory is likely not because of a large number of votes but "presidential electors decide the outcome of the elections in the USA.”

“The most important factor in the USA elections is that a candidate can get millions of votes more than the other one but still not be elected a president, for several electors, who are the so-called representatives of the citizens, decide on the election outcome of their own will, and the outcome is usually people of the system, and the system prefers Hillary Clinton," Martirosyan said.  

Vardan Khachatryan said that Trump’s supporters are mostly white workers who try not to participate in any surveys.   

“Even if they participate in surveys, they will not disclose who their preferable candidate is. Even though it is supposed that the blacks would vote for Clinton, the preliminary voting results were different, so it is useless to forecast. Let’s follow and see what will happen,” Khachatryan said.

Media Center wondered about the changes anticipated as a result of the elections and  Khachatryan said that there had already been very serious changes.

He noted that as of today, the American society faced problems related to the trust towards the system.  

“A grave situation is not the start of a deep economic crisis, but the fact that the society adjusts to the existing violations. Both the elite and the society adjust. Clinton should lose if the opponent had a medium degree of flexibility and gave an accurate hit. But it did not happen and now it is difficult to say what the American society would consider correct. If Clinton wins, her presidency would not be easy as she really missed the strikes by the society that would hinder the presidency. This is the American reality,” Khachatryan said.  

He added that the public opinion is capable of anything, "Not only to change a situation in the finale of the elections but then such a counterbalance can be made for the acting government that no one would suppose."

Lilit Arakelyan, editor/events coordinator at “Media Center”

To contact the author please send an email to lilitarakelyan@pjc.am.

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